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Monday, November 19, 2007

The final rule

Explained

The link above will take you to a question and answer page on the new rules for importing cattle from Canada to the USA. The USDA will now allow animals born after 1999 to be imported for beef and breeding purposes, plus allowing many more categories of beef products and by products. The coming weeks market-wise should be very interesting, as usually allowing more imports from Canada is rough on cull cow prices here in the US. The final rule also allows many more dairy animals to be imported, usually resulting in excess milk production and lower farm gate milk prices. This time, however, the Canadian Loonie is very strong vs. the American dollar. Things may not be as bad for US farmers as they have been in other years when the border is open (although conservative estimates point to 600,000 head coming south in the next year.)

I am not holding my breath anyhow. The border opens today and we already took a $400 hit on one heifer we sold last week....evidently buyers are planning on higher supplies and lower prices. (We were getting $1200 and got $800 instead for a breeding age Holstein heifer.) Farmers in Canada are already hurting too, due to the divergence between the currencies. I don't pretend to know what will happen in the next few months in either the beef or dairy markets....other than that food giants like Tyson and Dean Foods will prosper and we farmers won't get rich selling our products to them.

6 comments:

dmmgmfm said...

You always have such interesting posts. Thanks for the information.

Happy Thanksgiving!

Laurie

threecollie said...

Thanks Laurie...Hope you are catching a break from your busy life..

Linda said...

The border opening hasn't changed much up here yet. Slaughter cows were still selling for 27-32 cents/lb. Bred cows areat about $550 average and bred heifers did get as high as $800 but that was just for the top of the top:(

threecollie said...

Loubob, I knew from reading your blog and talking to our feed guy who is from Alberta that things weren't that great up there either. Sure hasn't dropped much in the store though.

Linda said...

YOUR feed guy is from Alberta? Small world!
Be well, (even if none of us are getting rich quick)

threecollie said...

Thanks, Loubob, I believe he is from around Red Deer. Don't know if that is anywhere near you.